The Role of Biden Approval and Race in Shaping the 2024 Election

Kaylah Tengeya

This study examines how Biden’s approval rating influences presidential vote choice among racial/ethnic groups in Pennsylvania during the 2024 election. Using exit poll data, I expect Black voters to support Harris despite disapproving of Biden due to linked fate and group solidarity, while White voters will be more likely to defect due to the succession effect. Hispanic and Asian voters will be more divided, influenced by both Biden’s approval and reactions to Trump’s policies.

Major: 
Political Science
Exhibition Category: 
Social and Behavioral Sciences
Exhibition Format: 
Poster Presentation
Campus: 
University Park
Faculty Sponsor: 
Justin Crofoot
Poster Number: 
66